Next iPad may be a 4G game changer
Posted On Mar 25, 2012 at , 4:04 PM by SyahrizalSAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK: Apple Inc is betting a 4G-equipped iPad will tempt more consumers to watch high-quality video on the go.
Until now, Apple's fan legion has been reluctant to shell out extra money even for iPads with 3G connection. The cheaper WiFi-only model - with more limited web access - is by far the top-selling one today.
The newest iPad will be capable of operating on a high-speed 4G "LTE," or Long-Term Evolution network, according to a source familiar with the product.
At speeds roughly 10x faster than current 3G technology, that may go a long way toward banishing the sometimes shaky video quality of older devices.
Such a juiced-up device would help boost the telecoms market if consumers catch on and can be enticed to pay more, some analysts said. The global Tablet user base already reached 67 million in 2011, according to researcher Strategy Analytics.
"It's going to dramatically improve video consumption," said UBS analyst John Hodulik. "This is the device people want. They want the fastest speed. They want high resolution."
The Cupertino, California-based consumer device company is gearing up to unveil the iPad 3 on Wednesday (Thursday, Malaysian time), a faster and better-equipped version intended to thwart increasing competition from rivals.
The new iPad will be "critical" to Apple if it is to continue to dominate the global Tablet market, said Frost & Sullivan's analyst, Phil Harpur.
"A lot will depend how receptive the market is to the new features offered by iPad 3, two of which are believed to be quad-core processing and 4G-LTE capabilities," he said.
"While iPad 2 offered only minor incremental upgrades, this time the market will be expecting a lot more."
The unveiling at the Yerba Buena Centre for the Arts in San Francisco, where the company also introduced the last two iPad generations, will be chief executive Tim Cook's second major product launch, after the iPhone 4S unveiling last year at the company's headquarters.
The smartphone was initially a disappointment as it was perceived to be mostly a software upgrade, but "Siri," its voice-enabled personal assistant technology, helped to make it a bestseller.
Cook will again be flanked by Apple's top cadres on iPad 3 launch day, when he kicks off a typically tightly choreographed show scrutinised by investors and industry insiders.
On hand will likely be Apple's top marketing executive Phil Schiller, its head of Internet services Eddy Cue and software chief Scott Forstall - the standard cast for major launches following the death of founder and consummate showman Steve Jobs last year.
Upgrade to Apple TV in works?
The company, legendary for keeping its agenda under wraps, has not said what it plans to reveal but invited speculation with its cryptic event invitation, graced by a partial image of an iPad screen and the tagline: "We have something you really have to see. And touch."
Some predict an upgrade of the Apple TV, one of the rare company products that has not seen mass adoption.
Jefferies analyst Peter Misek said the "see and touch" reference was "very curious."
"An upgrade of the Apple TV set-top-box is possible as well as a remote chance for an iTV television set due to a reference to a large screen size," Misek said in a note to clients, adding that it was possible that Apple could also announce an actual TV despite not having a finished product.
Until then, it is the iPad 3's 4G capabilities that may be commanding the firmest speculation.
iPad sales doubled in the December quarter to 15.43 million units. The company has sold about 55 million iPads since it was introduced in 2010, and recorded more than US$20bil (RM60bil) in sales and related services and accessories in fiscal 2011.
But dozens of new devices are set to launch this year, so Apple needs to stay a step ahead of its deep-pocketed rivals.
Handset makers including Samsung and Motorola Mobility already have LTE-capable Tablets available, so in a way Apple is already late to the game.
The Samsung and Motorola Tablets run on Google Inc's Android software, which is fast gaining ground on Apple's iOS.
Market share of Android-based Tablets in the fourth quarter rose to 39% from 29% a year ago, while the iPad's market share slipped to 58% from 68%, according to Strategy Analytics analyst Neil Mawston.
But the early high-speed Tablets have not caught on. They accounted for a mere 1% of total Tablet sales last year, partly because they were expensive, Mawston said.
While Apple is not breaking new ground with LTE, it may play a big hand in the technology's take off on Tablets, because of the popularity of its iPad platform. The iPad 3 may also be helped by recent expansion in the availability of LTE services, according to Mawston.
One impediment to the success of the iPad 3 with the faster connectivity could be rising data service charges. Carriers charge customers for data on a per-usage basis, which can quickly add up.
For example, watching 30 minutes of video a day on Verizon Wireless in the United States could add up to almost twice as much data downloads as its monthly US$30 (RM90) service package provides for. If people really like how the new device works, UBS's Hodulik said they may not mind the charges.
So far the most popular version of the current iPad is the cheapest - the one that works only on WiFi, a short-range wireless connection, and does not connect to service providers networks.
So it could still be an uphill task to convince most buyers to pay for iPad services even with faster speeds.
"It's very important for a decent size subset of the users, probably somewhere in the 10% to 15% range," Gartner analyst Van Baker said. "For 85% to 90% of people, it's just not going to matter." - Reuters